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Boudet, H S, Jayasundera, D C and Davis, J (2011) Drivers of Conflict in Developing Country Infrastructure Projects: Experience from the Water and Pipeline Sectors. Journal of Construction Engineering and Management, 137(07), 498–511.

Hermann, U H, Hasan, S, Al-Hussein, M and Bouferguene, A (2011) Innovative System for Off-the-Ground Rotation of Long Objects Using Mobile Cranes. Journal of Construction Engineering and Management, 137(07), 478–85.

Ikuma, L H, Nahmens, I and James, J (2011) Use of Safety and Lean Integrated Kaizen to Improve Performance in Modular Homebuilding. Journal of Construction Engineering and Management, 137(07), 551–60.

Lucko, G (2011) Optimizing Cash Flows for Linear Schedules Modeled with Singularity Functions by Simulated Annealing. Journal of Construction Engineering and Management, 137(07), 523–35.

Maravas, A and Pantouvakis, J (2011) Fuzzy Repetitive Scheduling Method for Projects with Repeating Activities. Journal of Construction Engineering and Management, 137(07), 561–4.

Wibowo, A and Kochendoerfer, B (2011) Selecting BOT/PPP Infrastructure Projects for Government Guarantee Portfolio under Conditions of Budget and Risk in the Indonesian Context. Journal of Construction Engineering and Management, 137(07), 512–22.

  • Type: Journal Article
  • Keywords: Infrastructure; Build/Operate/Transfer; Budgets; Risk management; Indonesia; Infrastructure; Build/operate/transfer; Guarantee; Chance-constrained goal programming; Budget-at-risk; Indonesia;
  • ISBN/ISSN: 0733-9364
  • URL: https://doi.org/10.1061/(ASCE)CO.1943-7862.0000312
  • Abstract:
    Guarantee provision in privately financed infrastructure projects implemented as build-operate-transfer/public-private-partnership (BOT/PPP) arrangements is not uncommon in many countries, and Indonesia is no exception. But, given that the government budget is, in most if not all cases, not unlimited, there must be a selection of BOT/PPP projects posing proposals for seeking government guarantees. This paper presents a project selection methodology under the chance-constrained goal-programming framework in the context of the Indonesian BOT/PPP infrastructure industry. The ultimate objective of the selection is to result in a portfolio of guaranteed projects that brings maximum welfare gain to the economy as a whole, maximum total net change in financial net present value but, at the same time, puts the government at the lowest fiscal risk for a given budget constraint. The proposed methodology allows the government to examine relationships among the expected total payment, budget-at-risk allocated, and a desired confidence interval of actual payment not exceeding the budget-at-risk. The government can also compare two or more alternative scenarios and choose the optimal one that delivers the highest value for the money. To illustrate the model application, without sacrificing the generality of the proposed methodology, a much-simplified hypothetical case is presented, examined, and discussed.

Xu, J and Zeng, Z (2011) Applying Optimal Control Model to Dynamic Equipment Allocation Problem: Case Study of Concrete-Faced Rockfill Dam Construction Project. Journal of Construction Engineering and Management, 137(07), 536–50.

Zetterlund, M, Norberg, T, Ericsson, L O and Rosén, L (2011) Framework for Value of Information Analysis in Rock Mass Characterization for Grouting Purposes. Journal of Construction Engineering and Management, 137(07), 486–97.